Two senior advisors set to leave the Harper PMO is not a good sign for the Conservative leader.
Even Don Martin is talking about it.
Meanwhile, the latest Strategic Counsel poll has the Liberals and Conservatives in a tie nationally. A Harris-Decima survey shows overwhelmingly strong support for the Liberal budget initiative of regular performance updates.
-srbp-
3 comments:
If Harper is so weakened, then it's going to affect his ability to take a stand against Quebec on the reignted Labrador boundary dispute, per today's story in the Glib. Perhaps this is why Dunds was in Ottawa, though it's hard to see what she could accomplish after DW's publicity grenade in the National Post last weekend.
If nothing else, the looming prospect of another cause célèbre is pure gold for Dangovt, as it will refuel his political base and give the local media something new to chew over. Depending on how it plays out, it could become one of the focal points for DW's April Fools celebration.
The Strategic Counsel poll has the Green Party being shown as 26% in Quebec and 13% nationally - this instantly tells me that this is a throwaway poll (i.e. the 20th poll out of 20). I'd ignore this one.
(A rule of thumb: if you see the Green Party in double digits in a poll, the poll is probably not reliable).
@YahMon:
Good catch, but there is something I'd point out.
The national numbers have a good MoE and they are something to work with. The regional breakouts have margins of error that make them junk.
I saw the Quebec numbers with the Greens in first place and roared laughing. Then I saw the MoE was 6.3% plus or minus.
National polls usually can't do anything regionally with any great reliability, except maybe during elections when they beef up the regional samples.
Comparison: I'd take Nik Nanos national numbers to the bank but his regional breakouts give error margins of up to 10 and 12%.
Anyone judging anything using regional breakouts in national polls can send for my prospectus on the Brooklyn Bridge. It's going cheap.
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