Two-thirds of respondents to the most recent Abacus-VOCM News poll said they believed the Liberal Party will win the next provincial general election.
That’s an important question because recent American research suggests it is a good indication of the actual vote result than the traditional “which party will you vote for?” question.
There’s another reason why this question is important. Look at the contrast between NDP and Conservative supporters. More than half of New Democratic supporters think the Liberals will win.
Only 28% of Dippers think their own party will win the next election. A majority of provincial Conservatives think the Tories will win. But get this: 37% of Tories think the Grits will come out on top.
People who think there is some kind of NDP wave about sweep the universe can think again.