Corporate Research Associates’ latest poll is in line with polls by MQO and Abacus.
The table below shows CRA’s quarterly poll results since the last provincial election with the CRA “decideds” skew taken out.
Liberals are at 50% of all respondents, with the Conservatives at 16% and the NDP at seven with 26% undecided or giving no answer.
The table below compares the CRA numbers with those of MQO and Abacus. In each column, the number on the right is the response of all respondents. The figure on the left is the result of you take out the undecideds. MQO’s poll has an intermediate set of numbers that gives decideds and leaners.
| CRA (Nov 15) | MQO (Nov 15) | Abacus (Nov 15) | |
| Liberal | 67/50 | 74/57/49 | 66/52 |
| Conservative | 22/16 | 17/13/11 | 19/15 |
| New Democrat | 10/07 | 09/07/06 | 15/12 |
| UND | 00/26 | 00/23/34 | 00/22 |
What’s interesting here is that if you look at the CRA leader preference number, Dwight Ball is tied at 50% with his party. Paul Davis was the choice of 27% of respondents, while only 11% picked Earle McCurdy.
All of these results are within the margin of error of the polls.
Related: Turnout in Monday’s advance poll was 21,000. That’s up 40% over 2011. What’s more interesting is that advance turnout in 2007 was 7,000. That was the year the Conservatives won all but four seats in the election.
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