1. Refineries planned for East Coast. Bond readers heard this already. They've also heard about the prospects the Irving refinery and gas plant planned for Saint John will make it harder for other refinery proposals, especially for green-field sites. Expansion at Come by Chance is not inherently as risky.
2. Natural gas drilling on downturn. Warmer weather and lower prices blamed.
3. Husky criticizes Alberta infrastructure, earns government rebuke.
4. Venezuela expands petro-influence in Central America. New refinery for Nicaragua; expansion of existing natural gas pipeline under discussion. (from platts.com)
5. Gulf of Mexico grows. Government and majors still wrangling over money but exploration set to expand in American backyard.
15 January 2007
Devil in polling details for Williams
The Telegram obtained the most recent Corporate Research Associates (CRA) polling results (December 2006) and the numbers don't look good for government.
According to the Telegram, employment was the number one issue facing the province according to respondents. Concern about employment was highest outside the metro St. John's area.
According to the Telegram, employment was the number one issue facing the province according to respondents. Concern about employment was highest outside the metro St. John's area.
And residents are becoming less enamoured of the Williams administration’s job-creation record, CRA found.CRA reported that overall satisfaction levels remained high.
Only 33 per cent of respondents were completely (two per cent) or mostly (31 per cent) satisfied.
The majority — 62 per cent — were completely (18 per cent) or mostly (44 per cent) dissatisfied.
14 January 2007
Second economist criticizes government money for Alcan
The article is in French, but you will get the point fairly quickly.
A package of incentives worth $337,000 per job, for a total value of $3.0 billion over 30 years (if my French holds up.
The deal to support Alcan's operations in Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean includes a guaranteed price on 225 megawatts of power, to be supplied by projects such as the one begun last week on the Rupert river.
A package of incentives worth $337,000 per job, for a total value of $3.0 billion over 30 years (if my French holds up.
The deal to support Alcan's operations in Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean includes a guaranteed price on 225 megawatts of power, to be supplied by projects such as the one begun last week on the Rupert river.
13 January 2007
Seven pillars
1. Dick Cheney's 1999 speech to the Institute of Petroleum. Some look on this for portents of Bush II policy in the Middle East. Others will see an overview of the challenges in the petroleum industry globally. This copy of the speech is on a site discussing the concept of peak oil. Poke around and you'll find other articles worthy of your time.
2. The challenge of deepwater drilling. From South Africa comes this Reuters piece on exploration and production in the Gulf of Mexico.
3. Profit drops expected for oil industry. From the International Herald Tribune, a look at the impact falling oil prices may have on the companies that take the risks of drilling in the expensive new frontiers.
This is one of the reasons why some analysts considered the Hebron failure such a massive giveaway; it's been a painful lesson for those who misuse Newfoundland and Labrador history by talking about some economic development projects as "giveaways". Sometimes a loss comes from failing to reach an agreement at an opportune time.
It will be much harder to strike a lucrative deal when oil prices are relatively low or appear to be low.
4. Local fall-out from Hebron failure? Rutter posts a drop in revenue and sheds its interest in DORIS.
5. At least no one dies from local talk radio. [Via Drudge]
6. Chavez takes them out, well, sort of.
7. ConocoPhillips holds S& P rating, but the company is buying back about US$1.0 billion of its own stock in the wake of disappointing earnings in the last quarter of 2006. Conoco's other problems - coupled with the complete uncertainty of dealing with the Williams administration - may lead it away from its earlier interest in Grand Banks gas fields. Husky has also shelved its plans for White Rose gas pending release of the province's energy plan and natural gas royalty regime, already a decade in development.
For a reminder of previous comment on the way oil companies look at the world, check this critique of an old Telegram editorial. Oil companies will take risks, but evidently are looking anywhere but Newfoundland and Labrador where there seems to be no certainty of anything when it comes to government revenue demands.
John Crosbie is right.
2. The challenge of deepwater drilling. From South Africa comes this Reuters piece on exploration and production in the Gulf of Mexico.
3. Profit drops expected for oil industry. From the International Herald Tribune, a look at the impact falling oil prices may have on the companies that take the risks of drilling in the expensive new frontiers.
This is one of the reasons why some analysts considered the Hebron failure such a massive giveaway; it's been a painful lesson for those who misuse Newfoundland and Labrador history by talking about some economic development projects as "giveaways". Sometimes a loss comes from failing to reach an agreement at an opportune time.
It will be much harder to strike a lucrative deal when oil prices are relatively low or appear to be low.
4. Local fall-out from Hebron failure? Rutter posts a drop in revenue and sheds its interest in DORIS.
5. At least no one dies from local talk radio. [Via Drudge]
6. Chavez takes them out, well, sort of.
7. ConocoPhillips holds S& P rating, but the company is buying back about US$1.0 billion of its own stock in the wake of disappointing earnings in the last quarter of 2006. Conoco's other problems - coupled with the complete uncertainty of dealing with the Williams administration - may lead it away from its earlier interest in Grand Banks gas fields. Husky has also shelved its plans for White Rose gas pending release of the province's energy plan and natural gas royalty regime, already a decade in development.
For a reminder of previous comment on the way oil companies look at the world, check this critique of an old Telegram editorial. Oil companies will take risks, but evidently are looking anywhere but Newfoundland and Labrador where there seems to be no certainty of anything when it comes to government revenue demands.
John Crosbie is right.
There's a reason Danny spends so much time in Florida
Is this what our energy plan will consist of?
Is this the next call if more of Danny's backbenchers are accused of double-billing taxpayers for lunch and dinner?
These are just light-hearted questions to help pass the weekend.
Is this the next call if more of Danny's backbenchers are accused of double-billing taxpayers for lunch and dinner?
These are just light-hearted questions to help pass the weekend.
Iceland shows us how it's done!
A humourous take on the local world.
1. Codfish killed by sulpher pollution?
2. U Iceland research budget tripled. Sounds great until you read the story and see that the increase is US$8.9 million each year.
Sounds wonderful until you check closer to home. According to the most recent inventory, Memorial University attracts about $90 million in research every year including $4.0 million from the province (despite our massive debt burden).
But here's something even more interesting: out of that $90 million, about $50 million comes in various forms from the federal government.
Oh yeah. We can learn a lot from Iceland.
3. Every job is important. But this looks a bit like Small Town News of the finest kind.
4. Until no fish swim. Icelandic researchers "finally" find a school of capelin. Now the race is on to issue "temporary" fishing quotas.
5. And we bitch about how hard it is to find a pineapple and starfruit at the local Dominion. Icelanders pay 62% more for groceries than the European Union average.
6. Next we'll hear about the need to develop a local psychic hotline industry.
All of which is proof once again that when they aren't creating yet another blog on which to promise great things to come that either never come or aren't so great, some people spend way too much time surfing the Internet without understanding what it is they find there.
1. Codfish killed by sulpher pollution?
2. U Iceland research budget tripled. Sounds great until you read the story and see that the increase is US$8.9 million each year.
Sounds wonderful until you check closer to home. According to the most recent inventory, Memorial University attracts about $90 million in research every year including $4.0 million from the province (despite our massive debt burden).
But here's something even more interesting: out of that $90 million, about $50 million comes in various forms from the federal government.
Oh yeah. We can learn a lot from Iceland.
3. Every job is important. But this looks a bit like Small Town News of the finest kind.
4. Until no fish swim. Icelandic researchers "finally" find a school of capelin. Now the race is on to issue "temporary" fishing quotas.
5. And we bitch about how hard it is to find a pineapple and starfruit at the local Dominion. Icelanders pay 62% more for groceries than the European Union average.
6. Next we'll hear about the need to develop a local psychic hotline industry.
All of which is proof once again that when they aren't creating yet another blog on which to promise great things to come that either never come or aren't so great, some people spend way too much time surfing the Internet without understanding what it is they find there.
Tory website vanishes
With all the problems in his administration, maybe Danny Williams just can't get in there and find the reason why his party's website has been down.
Lord knows nothing can happen without his express approval, so maybe he just has too much on his plate to debug the html.
The site's been down for days.
As of noon on Saturday, it's still not loading.
Hmmmmmm, as Watton would say.
Lord knows nothing can happen without his express approval, so maybe he just has too much on his plate to debug the html.
The site's been down for days.
As of noon on Saturday, it's still not loading.
Hmmmmmm, as Watton would say.
What Harper got in writing
At the upcoming first ministers meeting, expect to hear the Premier of Newfoundland and Labrador talk a lot about what he got in writing from Steve Harper.
What you won't hear the diminutive, dyspeptic Dannyboy say is what Harper got in writing from him:
What you won't hear the diminutive, dyspeptic Dannyboy say is what Harper got in writing from him:
The Government of Newfoundland and Labrador is advocating...(3) comprehensive revenue coverage (which would include, in full, all renewable and non-renewable natural resources)... [Emphasis added]Don't expect Williams to head for the parapets in defence of that one; which of course makes John Crosbie's observations all the more prescient.
12 January 2007
Adios Jim-bo
Jim Hodder announced his resignation from the House of Assembly today, for health reasons.
He becomes the third Tory to pull pin in little over a month, thereby forcing Premier Danny Williams to call no fewer than three by-elections by the middle of March.
Other names are due to come just as they will for the Liberals too. The thing is it is so strange for a first-term party fresh off years on the opposition benches to suffer attrition at such a rate. Including the three already declared, Bond Papers has about another seven names who either won't run again or who are in danger of losing their seats for one reason of another.
A year ago that list of Tories dead or on life support was completely blank.
Hodder deserves a proper send-off, for this is second retirement from politics.
Hodder was first elected in 1975 as a Liberal, crossed the floor in the 1980s to sit with the Conservatives and subsequently served in Peckford's cabinet. After resigning from politics in the 1990s he ran again after a brief absence and was re-elected.
For those who read this far, here's a bonus question for 10 points:
What other current member of the provincial legislature with a career profile very similar to Hodder's is also looking at resigning from the legislature?
This other Liberal cum Tory from the Class of 1975 is planning to run against Scott Simms [Right, not exactly as illustrated].
Hint: unlike Hodder, this re-tread made it to cabinet again.
He becomes the third Tory to pull pin in little over a month, thereby forcing Premier Danny Williams to call no fewer than three by-elections by the middle of March.
Other names are due to come just as they will for the Liberals too. The thing is it is so strange for a first-term party fresh off years on the opposition benches to suffer attrition at such a rate. Including the three already declared, Bond Papers has about another seven names who either won't run again or who are in danger of losing their seats for one reason of another.
A year ago that list of Tories dead or on life support was completely blank.
Hodder deserves a proper send-off, for this is second retirement from politics.
Hodder was first elected in 1975 as a Liberal, crossed the floor in the 1980s to sit with the Conservatives and subsequently served in Peckford's cabinet. After resigning from politics in the 1990s he ran again after a brief absence and was re-elected.
For those who read this far, here's a bonus question for 10 points:
What other current member of the provincial legislature with a career profile very similar to Hodder's is also looking at resigning from the legislature?
This other Liberal cum Tory from the Class of 1975 is planning to run against Scott Simms [Right, not exactly as illustrated].Hint: unlike Hodder, this re-tread made it to cabinet again.
And this just in...
Generalissimo Francisco Franco is still dead.
Really old people who watched Saturday Night Live from episode one will get the joke.
To be sure, vocm.com does report tons of useful information daily and a couple of weekends ago they outed a major story.
This one just struck the funny bone.
Really old people who watched Saturday Night Live from episode one will get the joke.
To be sure, vocm.com does report tons of useful information daily and a couple of weekends ago they outed a major story.
This one just struck the funny bone.
Lono nominated
At least two Liberals in the federal riding of St. John's North read that and fainted.
They should read this instead.
Good on ya, buddy.
The two Liberals will have to wait to faint at the other nomination.
They should read this instead.
Good on ya, buddy.
The two Liberals will have to wait to faint at the other nomination.
11 January 2007
Danny Williams: Public Enemy Number One
Ok.
So the headline on John Crosbie's latest column might be a bit overdone, calling Newfoundland and Labrador's dyspeptic first minister the greatest current threat to national unity.
Crosbie's observation are still spot on, as the audio of his interview with CBC's Jeff Gilhooley.
Lono, at Offal News, has a good take on it, as well.
So the headline on John Crosbie's latest column might be a bit overdone, calling Newfoundland and Labrador's dyspeptic first minister the greatest current threat to national unity.
Crosbie's observation are still spot on, as the audio of his interview with CBC's Jeff Gilhooley.
Lono, at Offal News, has a good take on it, as well.
The age of persuasion
Around this neck of the woods, Thursdays at noon are the time when things go mostly quiet and we flip on CBC Radio One.
That's the time for "O'Reilly and The Age of Persuasion", ad man Terry O'Reilly's look at his business.
There's no way to describe the show and goodness knows the CBC website for the thing would definitely not lead you to suspect you will be getting a half hour that provokes and entertains while it educates.
That's okay.
There's a blog, but it really isn't very exciting.
That's okay, too.
Over at the website for O'Reilly's agency - Pirate Radio and TV - you will get every conceivable indication of just exactly how creative and possibly insane O'Reilly and company are. Pirate does its own work but it also subcontracts production for other agencies.
This is the Internet presence of a truly inventive bunch of people. Click on "Reels" in the top menu and you get samples of their work.
Like the Irving Mainway radio spots for Target that - if memory serves - won an award the first time they aired. O'Reilly directed them. They are actually a variation on a concept originally used for Labatt in another market to push its bedrock line, Blue. The Labatt concept involved having an actor making calls at random to unsuspecting businesses - out of the blue, get it? - with a simple but potentially funny scenario. The whole thing dependend very much on getting the right person on the other end of the phone but odds are good that with a few calls, you could wind up with 30 seconds or so of radio that truly stands out from the clutter.
In the Irving spots, the calls were to people who had won an item in a Mainway contest. They worked really well the first time they aired, since it was hysterical listening to some guy answer questions about winning a bottle of juice as if it were a million bucks. He's humouring this over-the-top chick making the call. However, by the second or third season, the whole thing got tired.
There are some devastatingly funny radio spots for everything from the Toronto Symphony Orchestra to a Toronto car dealership. None of it - absolutely none of it - is conventional.
Is there talent enough to do this kind of creative work around here?
You betcha.
The challenge is finding the clients willing to go with it.
That's the time for "O'Reilly and The Age of Persuasion", ad man Terry O'Reilly's look at his business.
There's no way to describe the show and goodness knows the CBC website for the thing would definitely not lead you to suspect you will be getting a half hour that provokes and entertains while it educates.
That's okay.
There's a blog, but it really isn't very exciting.
That's okay, too.
Over at the website for O'Reilly's agency - Pirate Radio and TV - you will get every conceivable indication of just exactly how creative and possibly insane O'Reilly and company are. Pirate does its own work but it also subcontracts production for other agencies.
This is the Internet presence of a truly inventive bunch of people. Click on "Reels" in the top menu and you get samples of their work.
Like the Irving Mainway radio spots for Target that - if memory serves - won an award the first time they aired. O'Reilly directed them. They are actually a variation on a concept originally used for Labatt in another market to push its bedrock line, Blue. The Labatt concept involved having an actor making calls at random to unsuspecting businesses - out of the blue, get it? - with a simple but potentially funny scenario. The whole thing dependend very much on getting the right person on the other end of the phone but odds are good that with a few calls, you could wind up with 30 seconds or so of radio that truly stands out from the clutter.
In the Irving spots, the calls were to people who had won an item in a Mainway contest. They worked really well the first time they aired, since it was hysterical listening to some guy answer questions about winning a bottle of juice as if it were a million bucks. He's humouring this over-the-top chick making the call. However, by the second or third season, the whole thing got tired.
There are some devastatingly funny radio spots for everything from the Toronto Symphony Orchestra to a Toronto car dealership. None of it - absolutely none of it - is conventional.
Is there talent enough to do this kind of creative work around here?
You betcha.
The challenge is finding the clients willing to go with it.
Meanwhile in Nova Scotia
The Premier is having troubles of his own.
Check the latest at the Daily News here, here and here.
The Canadian Press version is here.
The root of his problem comes from someone asking a simple couple of questions:
What did you know?
When did you know it?
More people should ask those questions.
Check the latest at the Daily News here, here and here.
The Canadian Press version is here.
The root of his problem comes from someone asking a simple couple of questions:
What did you know?
When did you know it?
More people should ask those questions.
Why Loyola left
They had a deal Sully could live with on Equalization.
Danny was of a different mind.
Instead of being a meeting to formally agree, this one will likely be the scene for another Danny tirade. Don't be surprised if he stages some storm-out to avoid having his fellow Premiers rip him a new one for his petulant, self-interested posturing.
Just like the last time.
Notice the date, though.
February 7.
Hmmmmm.
Would be convenient to use a problem with Equalization where Danny supposedly stands alone against the rest of the Premiers and the Prime Minister as an excellent excuse to call an election.
And, as Danny knows full well, he doesn't have to recall the House to drop the writ.
Danny was of a different mind.
Instead of being a meeting to formally agree, this one will likely be the scene for another Danny tirade. Don't be surprised if he stages some storm-out to avoid having his fellow Premiers rip him a new one for his petulant, self-interested posturing.
Just like the last time.
Notice the date, though.
February 7.
Hmmmmm.
Would be convenient to use a problem with Equalization where Danny supposedly stands alone against the rest of the Premiers and the Prime Minister as an excellent excuse to call an election.
And, as Danny knows full well, he doesn't have to recall the House to drop the writ.
10 January 2007
Fishery Products back on the block
CBC News is reporting that talks are underway - again - that might see Fishery Products International Limited's (FPIL) groundfish assets in Newfoundland and Labrador sold off.
As in the last go 'round, two of the potential buyers are Barry Group and Ocean Choice, owned by the Penney Group.
A third proposal is expected from FPI management.
As noted on Bond Papers last May, the goal of the provincial government's changes to the FPI legislation was actually to make it easier to break up the company and sell off the assets. The FPI bill gave cabinet the authority to approve any sale of FPI assets. Under the original Act, a sale of assets would have required a change to the legislation, meaning it would had to come before the legislature for public debate.
As in the last go 'round, two of the potential buyers are Barry Group and Ocean Choice, owned by the Penney Group.
A third proposal is expected from FPI management.
As noted on Bond Papers last May, the goal of the provincial government's changes to the FPI legislation was actually to make it easier to break up the company and sell off the assets. The FPI bill gave cabinet the authority to approve any sale of FPI assets. Under the original Act, a sale of assets would have required a change to the legislation, meaning it would had to come before the legislature for public debate.
Here's why our weather is warmer
Forget global warming, El Nino and cow flatulence.
Newfoundland and Labrador is experiencing milder than usual weather because the weather office is back in Gander.
Iintergovernmental affairs minister John Ottenheimer is quoted as saying "[w]e are committed to examining opportunities where the federal government and the province can benefit from an increase in federal jobs in Newfoundland and Labrador...", after he reminded us that the weather office thing was a Conservative party commitment during the last election.
Unfortunately, Minister Ottenheimer forgot that almost exactly one year ago, the chief Conservative party representative in Newfoundland and Labrador reminded us all that the weather office was the sum total of the commitment.
After all, as Hearn noted, federal jobs that come merely from our tax dollars aren't sustainable.
Newfoundland and Labrador is experiencing milder than usual weather because the weather office is back in Gander.
Iintergovernmental affairs minister John Ottenheimer is quoted as saying "[w]e are committed to examining opportunities where the federal government and the province can benefit from an increase in federal jobs in Newfoundland and Labrador...", after he reminded us that the weather office thing was a Conservative party commitment during the last election.
Unfortunately, Minister Ottenheimer forgot that almost exactly one year ago, the chief Conservative party representative in Newfoundland and Labrador reminded us all that the weather office was the sum total of the commitment.
After all, as Hearn noted, federal jobs that come merely from our tax dollars aren't sustainable.
And it isn't even sweeps week
CRA polling doesn't start up again until October, but already the publicity machine on The Hill is cranking out happy news.
Like this one from the innovation minister's department on a regional trade mission to Florida. It's a general one that says - in so many words - about the same thing as this one from December 14, 2006 and this ministerial statement from December 5, 2006.
It's all great to hear that local companies are making inroads in overseas markets, but how many times can we say essentially the same thing?
Is someone trying to qualify for a Tobin Award - most news releases from a single event or incident?
From the headline - "Florida More Than a Vacation Destination" - some people would likely mistake this for an account of the Premier's favourite place during the winter months.
Like this one from the innovation minister's department on a regional trade mission to Florida. It's a general one that says - in so many words - about the same thing as this one from December 14, 2006 and this ministerial statement from December 5, 2006.
It's all great to hear that local companies are making inroads in overseas markets, but how many times can we say essentially the same thing?
Is someone trying to qualify for a Tobin Award - most news releases from a single event or incident?
From the headline - "Florida More Than a Vacation Destination" - some people would likely mistake this for an account of the Premier's favourite place during the winter months.
Another jihad in the offing
Will Gander get the same level of attention in the meantime as Deer Lake?
Update: Of course, Gander is not in the district of a provincial politician accused of double billing her constituents - and the rest of the province's taxpayers - for expenses.
Update: Of course, Gander is not in the district of a provincial politician accused of double billing her constituents - and the rest of the province's taxpayers - for expenses.
Outmigration details
Statistics Canada figures for the third quarter of 2006 show that outmigration from Newfoundland and Labrador that quarter was the third highest quarterly decline since 1993.
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