Andy Wells has decided to shut down his re-election campaign, comfortable in the knowledge that he has consistently bettered any of his competitors in public opinion polls.
Andy claims he has led his opponents by 40 to 50 percent.
Two things:
1. In any public polls, Andy has been about 20 percentage points ahead of his nearest competitor.
2. In a democracy, a candidate should be required to tell voters what he or she intends to accomplish in the next term of office.
Andy obviously has no desire to be accountable to voters in any fashion.
There's no surprise there.
Wells is notoriously disdainful of any attempt to question what he is doing. The bully-boy heaps tons of abuse and scorn on anyone who disagrees with him. In one interview he branded all other candidates as cowards.
Anyone who has to tear others down constantly like that is to be pitied since he lacks any measure of self-confidence and self-esteem.
The only thing we can be sure of is that Wells will be abusive of council members, as he has for the 30-odd years he's been a councillor. He'll also vote in favour of any development, any time any where. And Well's will make up any reason he can to justify his position.
With Wells' announcement, I don;t feel bad for having written "None of these" across the mayoral portion of my mail-in ballot.
13 September 2005
Municipal election expenses
There's a curious story in this week's Spindy on municipal election expenses in St. John's.
Ron Ellsworth claims to have spent only $18, 000 so far and plans to spend no more than $20, 000.
As someone who has worked on a few political campaigns, I'd challenge Ellsworth to open his election campaign books and those of his company.
Ellsworth has likely spent more than $18,000 on signage alone, if one applies the federal or provincial election expenses regulations. His glossy brochures would surely have set him back the better part of $5,000 including some modest charges for design work. He has a bunch of other printed material too. Now that he has started radio spots, we can add another $3,000 or more to the tally of $18k Ellsworth was willing to admit to the Spindy.
And the busback signage that started to crop up recently?
That's just a sign Ellsworth is spending bags of cash and has run out of places to put up his signs.
Another municipal high-flyer is John Dicks in Ward One. Dicks is spending heavily to unseat Art Puddister.
We'll only know how much he spent if he gets elected.
That's thanks to the Third World election system that we have in St. John's.
Count on having it a while longer since our own low-rent Fidel is going back as mayor largely unopposed.
Ron Ellsworth claims to have spent only $18, 000 so far and plans to spend no more than $20, 000.
As someone who has worked on a few political campaigns, I'd challenge Ellsworth to open his election campaign books and those of his company.
Ellsworth has likely spent more than $18,000 on signage alone, if one applies the federal or provincial election expenses regulations. His glossy brochures would surely have set him back the better part of $5,000 including some modest charges for design work. He has a bunch of other printed material too. Now that he has started radio spots, we can add another $3,000 or more to the tally of $18k Ellsworth was willing to admit to the Spindy.
And the busback signage that started to crop up recently?
That's just a sign Ellsworth is spending bags of cash and has run out of places to put up his signs.
Another municipal high-flyer is John Dicks in Ward One. Dicks is spending heavily to unseat Art Puddister.
We'll only know how much he spent if he gets elected.
That's thanks to the Third World election system that we have in St. John's.
Count on having it a while longer since our own low-rent Fidel is going back as mayor largely unopposed.
12 September 2005
St. John's mail-in madness
The first mail-ins ballots arrived in St. John's households.
The problems are turning up rapidly.
My parents received three ballots in the mail: one for each of them and the third for a cousin of mine who hasn't lived in St. John's for the better part of 10 years.
He lived with them while he attended Marine Institute, but he finished that program a long time ago. In the meantime he has lived in Hong Kong and a few other places before settling down in his hometown of North Harbour, Placentia Bay.
My parents are checking to see if my deceased grandparents receive ballots.
The ballot for my cousin will be returned to City Hall, unopened.
In addition, at large candidate Simon Lono ran into some confusion at City Hall when he filed his nomination papers. The voters list contained the names of Simon Lono, candidate, Simon Lono, the candidate's father, who passed away four years ago and - get this - Simon Lono, the candidate's 12 year old son.
A caller to one of the open line shows today reported he received two ballots: one in his own name and one for him using his nickname.
All told that makes four errors in the voters list, two of which resulted in ballots being mailed out to people who don't have a right to vote.
How many more are there in a city of about 80, 000 voters?
The problems are turning up rapidly.
My parents received three ballots in the mail: one for each of them and the third for a cousin of mine who hasn't lived in St. John's for the better part of 10 years.
He lived with them while he attended Marine Institute, but he finished that program a long time ago. In the meantime he has lived in Hong Kong and a few other places before settling down in his hometown of North Harbour, Placentia Bay.
My parents are checking to see if my deceased grandparents receive ballots.
The ballot for my cousin will be returned to City Hall, unopened.
In addition, at large candidate Simon Lono ran into some confusion at City Hall when he filed his nomination papers. The voters list contained the names of Simon Lono, candidate, Simon Lono, the candidate's father, who passed away four years ago and - get this - Simon Lono, the candidate's 12 year old son.
A caller to one of the open line shows today reported he received two ballots: one in his own name and one for him using his nickname.
All told that makes four errors in the voters list, two of which resulted in ballots being mailed out to people who don't have a right to vote.
How many more are there in a city of about 80, 000 voters?
08 September 2005
Danny Williams: read the fine print
Danny Williams thinks its good news that Abitibi Consolidated is selling off its interest in an Asian paper making operation. He thinks the improved debt position will allow Abitibi to change its position in Newfoundland and Labrador.
If one actually reads the Abitibi release on the decision, a different picture emerges.
- The existing closures stand: Abitibi includes the reduction in its paper output from this divestiture with the permanent closures already announced. "Combined with the 350,000 tonnes of permanent capacity closures announced in Q2 and slated for Q4, the new adjusted newsprint capacity will be approximately 4 million tonnes."
- The company's not for turning: The money is being used to reduce long-term debt. Abitibi runs a significant risk by announcing major debt reduction initiatives now if they are considering adding to their debt. Abitibi isn't run by that hideous breed of politician who will say anything to get a good poll, knowing full well he or she may make a totally different decision when required.
- Abitibi plans to convert some of its assets to high-grade paper production. This would mean that in order to avoid the announced closures, the company would be completing re-tooling Stephenville. That actually increases the capital outlay for some its highest-cost operations at a time when the company needs to actually reduce its cost over the long term.
Always remember: Danny Williams learned his politics from watching Brian Tobin. What he says and what actually is likely to happen may not always be in the same species, let alone the same thing.
If one actually reads the Abitibi release on the decision, a different picture emerges.
- The existing closures stand: Abitibi includes the reduction in its paper output from this divestiture with the permanent closures already announced. "Combined with the 350,000 tonnes of permanent capacity closures announced in Q2 and slated for Q4, the new adjusted newsprint capacity will be approximately 4 million tonnes."
- The company's not for turning: The money is being used to reduce long-term debt. Abitibi runs a significant risk by announcing major debt reduction initiatives now if they are considering adding to their debt. Abitibi isn't run by that hideous breed of politician who will say anything to get a good poll, knowing full well he or she may make a totally different decision when required.
- Abitibi plans to convert some of its assets to high-grade paper production. This would mean that in order to avoid the announced closures, the company would be completing re-tooling Stephenville. That actually increases the capital outlay for some its highest-cost operations at a time when the company needs to actually reduce its cost over the long term.
Always remember: Danny Williams learned his politics from watching Brian Tobin. What he says and what actually is likely to happen may not always be in the same species, let alone the same thing.
Polling for political hacks
Rather than read yet more coverage about a poll, flip over to Campaign Central and read a truly literate insight into what political types know or ought to know about polling.
Beloit College's Class of 2005 Mindset List®
A few year's ago, this list became popular among those of us who are getting older and older.
The list is handed to university instructor's at Washington state's Beloit College. It helps to keep some perspective when dealing with incoming freshmen (first year university students).
You can find the original list here, along with some for past years and for a couple years to come.
BELOIT COLLEGE'S CLASS OF 2005 MINDSET LIST®
1. Most students starting college this fall were born in 1983.
2. Ricky Nelson, Marvin Gaye and Laura Ashley have always been dead.
3. The New Kids on the Block are over the hill.
4. They want to be PHAT but not fat
5. IBM Selectrics are antiques.
6. Thongs no longer come in pairs and slide between the toes.
7. God has never been a "he" in most churches.
8. Hard copy has nothing to do with a TV show; a browser is not someone relaxing in a bookstore; a virus does not make humans sick; and a mouse is not a rodent (and there is no proper plural for it).
9. Moscow has always been opposed to "star wars."
10. Recording TV programs on VCRs became legal the year they were born.
11. The British Royal family has always behaved badly.
12. There has always been Diet Coke.
13. Artificial hearts have always been ticking.
14. The Social Security system has always been on the brink.
15. There have always been warnings about second-hand smoke.
16. They have never experienced a real recession.
17. A hacker is not just a kid who won't stop fooling around.
18. Grenada has always been safe for democracy.
19. They were born the same year as the PC and the Mac.
20. The U.S. Senate has always had a daycare program.
21. One earring on a man indicates that he is probably pretty conservative.
22. CDs have always been labeled for explicit content.
23. Lethal Weapon in one form or another has always been "at the movies."
24. Boeing has not built the 727 since they were born.
25. Sarajevo was a war zone, not an Olympic host.
26. They don't remember Janet Jackson when she was cute and chubby.
27. Drug testing of athletes has always been routine.
28. There has always been a hole in the ozone layer.
29. They have always had access to email.
30. The Colts have always been in Indianapolis.
31. The precise location of the Titanic has always been known.
32. When they were born, Madonna was still a radiant woman holding a beatific child.
33. Jimmy Hoffa has always been officially dead.
34. Tylenol has always been impossible for children or adults to open.
35. Volkswagen beetles have always had engines in the front.
36. They do not know what the Selective Service is, but men routinely register for it on their financial aid forms.
37. Ron Howard and Rob Reiner have always been balding older film directors.
38. Cal Ripken has always been playing baseball.
39. They have probably never used carbon paper and do not know what cc and bcc mean.
40. Lasers have always been marketed as toys.
41. Major newspapers have always been printed in color.
42. Beta is a preview version of software, not a VCR format..
43. They have never known exactly what to call the rock star formerly and presently known as Prince.
44. They are the first generation to prefer tanning indoors.
45. Survivor is a TV show not a rock group.
46. They have heard "just say no" since they were toddlers.
47. Most of them know someone who was born with the help of a test tube.
48. It has paid to "Discover" since they were four.
49. Oprah has always been a national institution.
50. With a life expectancy of 77 years, they can anticipate living until about 2060.
The list is handed to university instructor's at Washington state's Beloit College. It helps to keep some perspective when dealing with incoming freshmen (first year university students).
You can find the original list here, along with some for past years and for a couple years to come.
BELOIT COLLEGE'S CLASS OF 2005 MINDSET LIST®
1. Most students starting college this fall were born in 1983.
2. Ricky Nelson, Marvin Gaye and Laura Ashley have always been dead.
3. The New Kids on the Block are over the hill.
4. They want to be PHAT but not fat
5. IBM Selectrics are antiques.
6. Thongs no longer come in pairs and slide between the toes.
7. God has never been a "he" in most churches.
8. Hard copy has nothing to do with a TV show; a browser is not someone relaxing in a bookstore; a virus does not make humans sick; and a mouse is not a rodent (and there is no proper plural for it).
9. Moscow has always been opposed to "star wars."
10. Recording TV programs on VCRs became legal the year they were born.
11. The British Royal family has always behaved badly.
12. There has always been Diet Coke.
13. Artificial hearts have always been ticking.
14. The Social Security system has always been on the brink.
15. There have always been warnings about second-hand smoke.
16. They have never experienced a real recession.
17. A hacker is not just a kid who won't stop fooling around.
18. Grenada has always been safe for democracy.
19. They were born the same year as the PC and the Mac.
20. The U.S. Senate has always had a daycare program.
21. One earring on a man indicates that he is probably pretty conservative.
22. CDs have always been labeled for explicit content.
23. Lethal Weapon in one form or another has always been "at the movies."
24. Boeing has not built the 727 since they were born.
25. Sarajevo was a war zone, not an Olympic host.
26. They don't remember Janet Jackson when she was cute and chubby.
27. Drug testing of athletes has always been routine.
28. There has always been a hole in the ozone layer.
29. They have always had access to email.
30. The Colts have always been in Indianapolis.
31. The precise location of the Titanic has always been known.
32. When they were born, Madonna was still a radiant woman holding a beatific child.
33. Jimmy Hoffa has always been officially dead.
34. Tylenol has always been impossible for children or adults to open.
35. Volkswagen beetles have always had engines in the front.
36. They do not know what the Selective Service is, but men routinely register for it on their financial aid forms.
37. Ron Howard and Rob Reiner have always been balding older film directors.
38. Cal Ripken has always been playing baseball.
39. They have probably never used carbon paper and do not know what cc and bcc mean.
40. Lasers have always been marketed as toys.
41. Major newspapers have always been printed in color.
42. Beta is a preview version of software, not a VCR format..
43. They have never known exactly what to call the rock star formerly and presently known as Prince.
44. They are the first generation to prefer tanning indoors.
45. Survivor is a TV show not a rock group.
46. They have heard "just say no" since they were toddlers.
47. Most of them know someone who was born with the help of a test tube.
48. It has paid to "Discover" since they were four.
49. Oprah has always been a national institution.
50. With a life expectancy of 77 years, they can anticipate living until about 2060.
Supreme Court perspective
For all those who persist in the nonsense about the great national slight that no Newfoundlander (or Labradorian) has been appointed to the Supreme Court of Canada since Confederation, Wally McLean brings this sense of perspective.
In the entire history of the United States, 20 American states have never had a state-resident appointed to the United States Supreme Court. Of that number, two are from the original 13 colonies and four have been states since before 1800.
Here's the list, along with date of entry to the Union.
Delaware (the “First State”, Dec. 7, 1787)
Rhode Island (May 29, 1790)
District of Columbia (July 16, 1790)
Vermont (Mar. 4, 1791)
Arkansas (June 15, 1836)
Florida (Mar. 3, 1845)
Wisconsin (May 29, 1848)
Oregon (Feb. 14, 1859)
West Virginia (June 20, 1863)
Nevada (Oct. 31, 1864)
Nebraska (Mar. 1, 1867)
North Dakota (Nov. 2, 1889)
South Dakota (Nov. 2, 1889)
Montana (Nov. 8, 1889)
Washington (Nov. 11, 1889)
Idaho (July 3, 1890)
Oklahoma (Nov. 16, 1907)
New Mexico (Jan. 6, 1912)
Alaska (Jan. 3, 1959)
Hawaii (Aug. 21, 1959)
In the entire history of the United States, 20 American states have never had a state-resident appointed to the United States Supreme Court. Of that number, two are from the original 13 colonies and four have been states since before 1800.
Here's the list, along with date of entry to the Union.
Delaware (the “First State”, Dec. 7, 1787)
Rhode Island (May 29, 1790)
District of Columbia (July 16, 1790)
Vermont (Mar. 4, 1791)
Arkansas (June 15, 1836)
Florida (Mar. 3, 1845)
Wisconsin (May 29, 1848)
Oregon (Feb. 14, 1859)
West Virginia (June 20, 1863)
Nevada (Oct. 31, 1864)
Nebraska (Mar. 1, 1867)
North Dakota (Nov. 2, 1889)
South Dakota (Nov. 2, 1889)
Montana (Nov. 8, 1889)
Washington (Nov. 11, 1889)
Idaho (July 3, 1890)
Oklahoma (Nov. 16, 1907)
New Mexico (Jan. 6, 1912)
Alaska (Jan. 3, 1959)
Hawaii (Aug. 21, 1959)
Bizarre Municipal Math
This VOCM story on Mile One stadium has the treasurer Robert Bishop claiming that stadium management hopes to break-even or make a slight profit this year on the controversy-laden facility.
That figure includes a $1.0 million subsidy from taxpayers of St. John's.
Apparently people at city hall have trouble with math.
In order for the stadium to break-even, they would have to make $1.0 million more than they are planning to make. In other words, when they are done, Robert Bishop will be posting a $1.0 million shortfall.
He shouldn't be counting the city subsidy into his calculations.
That is, he shouldn't be including the subsidy unless his goal is to mislead people.
That figure includes a $1.0 million subsidy from taxpayers of St. John's.
Apparently people at city hall have trouble with math.
In order for the stadium to break-even, they would have to make $1.0 million more than they are planning to make. In other words, when they are done, Robert Bishop will be posting a $1.0 million shortfall.
He shouldn't be counting the city subsidy into his calculations.
That is, he shouldn't be including the subsidy unless his goal is to mislead people.
Doc O'Keefe - Get a grip
Kevin Breen's municipal election signs have been defaced.
Actually, the crafty vandals cut some of the signs in such a way that they had to be replaced at what will likely be a cost of close to $2, 000 for the Breen campaign.
Meanwhile, in another part of the city, a joker with a spray can painted the lord "lier" across signs for deputy mayoral candidate Dennis "Doc" O'Keefe.
Aside from the obvious spelling problems with the vandalism, Doc called the vandalism a new low in city politics.
Apparently, Doc thinks it's acceptable for his buddy Andy Wells to call the city's municipal candidates "cowards" and for Wells to be berate O'Keefe and his fellow councillors in public and private meetings.
O'Keefe must also think the spate of advertisements the Well's campaign ran last weekend are peachy keen too.
He must.
O'Keefe has said nothing at all about Andy Well's boorish behaviour lately or in the past.
Doc needs to get a grip, or at least a sense of perspective.
Actually, the crafty vandals cut some of the signs in such a way that they had to be replaced at what will likely be a cost of close to $2, 000 for the Breen campaign.
Meanwhile, in another part of the city, a joker with a spray can painted the lord "lier" across signs for deputy mayoral candidate Dennis "Doc" O'Keefe.
Aside from the obvious spelling problems with the vandalism, Doc called the vandalism a new low in city politics.
Apparently, Doc thinks it's acceptable for his buddy Andy Wells to call the city's municipal candidates "cowards" and for Wells to be berate O'Keefe and his fellow councillors in public and private meetings.
O'Keefe must also think the spate of advertisements the Well's campaign ran last weekend are peachy keen too.
He must.
O'Keefe has said nothing at all about Andy Well's boorish behaviour lately or in the past.
Doc needs to get a grip, or at least a sense of perspective.
07 September 2005
Night of the Long Knives - Connie style
Early media reports on Tuesday evening indicate as many as 15 people have been fired from the senior ranks of the Conservative Party of Canada. CTV reported that the number sent packing was at least five.
This is not good news in the wake of a series of firings and resignations over the spring and summer coupled with declining popular support for the fledgling party and its leader.
Despite Harper's brave challenges for the governing Liberals to call an election, he might want to ask Kim Campbell how it feels to be cocky when the polls don't support you. This won't deflect attention away from problems within the Connie party.
Be careful what you wish for, Stevie.
In the meantime, firing staff is a sign of deeper trouble, namely the inability of the party to get a grip on the real problem. That would be leadership.
It's the sad tale of the television spots. Focus on everything but the main issue. The inability to grip the main problem - leadership - is actually confirmation of the leadership deficit the party is currently facing.
Ultimately, the losers are Canadians across the country. Yet again e are denied a clear political choice and a meaningful policy debate on the stuff that matters about the country.
Instead, we get to watch the umpteenth iteration of what the old Tory party did to Bob Stanfield.
It's the Night of the Long Knives - Connie style.
This is not good news in the wake of a series of firings and resignations over the spring and summer coupled with declining popular support for the fledgling party and its leader.
Despite Harper's brave challenges for the governing Liberals to call an election, he might want to ask Kim Campbell how it feels to be cocky when the polls don't support you. This won't deflect attention away from problems within the Connie party.
Be careful what you wish for, Stevie.
In the meantime, firing staff is a sign of deeper trouble, namely the inability of the party to get a grip on the real problem. That would be leadership.
It's the sad tale of the television spots. Focus on everything but the main issue. The inability to grip the main problem - leadership - is actually confirmation of the leadership deficit the party is currently facing.
Ultimately, the losers are Canadians across the country. Yet again e are denied a clear political choice and a meaningful policy debate on the stuff that matters about the country.
Instead, we get to watch the umpteenth iteration of what the old Tory party did to Bob Stanfield.
It's the Night of the Long Knives - Connie style.
Connie TV spots - another view
To go with this post from last week on the four new Connie TV spots, take this article in Macleans.
Nobody seems to think they are a good idea. We all just have different reasons for our choices.
On another level, note the comment linking staff changes to the pending re-election campaign.
Nobody seems to think they are a good idea. We all just have different reasons for our choices.
On another level, note the comment linking staff changes to the pending re-election campaign.
06 September 2005
A Telly twosome for Tuesday
Check the online Telegram today which is actually carrying two really worthwhile stories. (They carry lots, but not all are online.)
First is this story [click news and look for the "Highrise" story if that link doesn't work] by Terry Roberts on a new development for the downtown proposed by Danny Williams' brother and Danny Williams' former business partner around the end of June this year. You may recall that Premier Danny Williams is the guy who thinks Andy Wells is the right man to head up the province's offshore regulatory board.
Predictably, the city's boorish mayor is all in favour of the deal. The proposal violates the city's zoning in the area which limits buildings to four stories. The exceptions (Atlantic Place, Scotia Centre, Fortis Building and TD Place) all pre-date the revised downtown zoning policy designed to preserve the historic character of the area. [Hint: it's what draws people here.] Of course, as the mayor is fond of saying: "Rules, we dun need no stinking rules."
This council should not be making any substantive decisions since we are in the middle of a municipal election. That some members of council are carrying forward as if the election didn't matter displays a blatant contempt for voters.
Incidentally, take a close look at the design. The architect seems to thing that kitsch is actually something desirable. Google the word, if you need to. This is a design that people would surely come to wish is in the path of a Category Five hurricane.
Second is a column by Telly editor Russell Wangersky. Russell comes back from two weeks vacation and takes a swipe at columnists like A.J. Baker who pander to their audience rather than present accurate information. Bravo, Russell.
First is this story [click news and look for the "Highrise" story if that link doesn't work] by Terry Roberts on a new development for the downtown proposed by Danny Williams' brother and Danny Williams' former business partner around the end of June this year. You may recall that Premier Danny Williams is the guy who thinks Andy Wells is the right man to head up the province's offshore regulatory board.
Predictably, the city's boorish mayor is all in favour of the deal. The proposal violates the city's zoning in the area which limits buildings to four stories. The exceptions (Atlantic Place, Scotia Centre, Fortis Building and TD Place) all pre-date the revised downtown zoning policy designed to preserve the historic character of the area. [Hint: it's what draws people here.] Of course, as the mayor is fond of saying: "Rules, we dun need no stinking rules."
This council should not be making any substantive decisions since we are in the middle of a municipal election. That some members of council are carrying forward as if the election didn't matter displays a blatant contempt for voters.
Incidentally, take a close look at the design. The architect seems to thing that kitsch is actually something desirable. Google the word, if you need to. This is a design that people would surely come to wish is in the path of a Category Five hurricane.
Second is a column by Telly editor Russell Wangersky. Russell comes back from two weeks vacation and takes a swipe at columnists like A.J. Baker who pander to their audience rather than present accurate information. Bravo, Russell.
Ward 4 sign wars
Courtesy of Greg Locke comes this picture of one of several Kevin Breen signs that have been altered by an unidentified gagster.
Breen is the incumbent city councillor locked in a tough fight to gain re-election in the current municipal election.
Someone has gone through the trouble of printing up labels that have been stuck on Breen's large signs to change his slogan to "a record of lying". The font and colouring are a close enough match to the original sign that it is hard to tell the change on first glance.
Until now the sign war in ward 4 has consisted of the large number of signs. One of Breen's challengers, Ron Ellsworth has spent large amounts of money on signs, bus advertising and print ads. One of his more obnoxious looking signs is evident in this picture as well. They are obnoxious because the design is crude and the large photograph seems to have no purpose.
Why exactly is Ellsworth extending his hand in this way?
Nawlins - a minor correction, planning failures, and other news
The Washington Post issued a correction in its story over the weekend that stated Louisiana Governor Kathleen Blanco had not declared a state of emergency in New Orleans.
Apparently she did declare a state of emergency on 26 August 2005.
That said, there is certainly more than enough blame to go around for the apparently slow response to Hurricane Katrina.
The primary responsibility still has to fall on the state and municipal officials. It is their responsibility to ensure certain core services, such as law enforcement can survive. It's not like New Orleans hasn't had a recent hurricane emergency.
This link to a 2004 Associated Press story about the aftermath of Hurricane Ivan sounds eerily familiar, except that this time, Mayor Ray Nagin was pretty quick to blame everyone else for his obvious failings.
The SuperDome issue arose in 1998 and again in 2004, just as it did in 2005. The difference this time is that no priority was given to making sure the state-owned facility could actually support 15, 000 with food and water even for a very short period of time.
While it is true that members of the Louisiana National Guard has been largely deployed to Iraq as of October 2004, the United States Department of Defense has other resources available in and around Louisiana that could have filled the role played by the Louisiana Guard. This would have required a bit of co-ordination between Baton Rouge and Washington, but the current political fracas between the Democrats and Republicans over the New Orleans monkey suggests contingency plans were never developed. Spread the blame for that failure around to however it can touch.
There are 3, 700 Louisiana National Guard soldiers in Iraq, according to the Washington Post. They are due to start their normal rotation home this week.
There are currently 58, 000 Active and Guard soldiers in Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama providing emergency support to residents affected by Hurricane Katrina.
Local angle: The United States Naval Ship Pollux is one of the U.S. Navy ships providing support in the Gulf. It is carrying fuel for military and civilian emergency agencies. A previous ship carrying that name ran aground on the Burin Peninsula, near St. Lawrence, in the early 1940s.
There is now video available on CNN of water rescue efforts including pictures of bloated corpses floating. Here's a link to the video of a piece of Christiane Amanpour's story. If it doesn't work go to CNN.
Apparently she did declare a state of emergency on 26 August 2005.
That said, there is certainly more than enough blame to go around for the apparently slow response to Hurricane Katrina.
The primary responsibility still has to fall on the state and municipal officials. It is their responsibility to ensure certain core services, such as law enforcement can survive. It's not like New Orleans hasn't had a recent hurricane emergency.
This link to a 2004 Associated Press story about the aftermath of Hurricane Ivan sounds eerily familiar, except that this time, Mayor Ray Nagin was pretty quick to blame everyone else for his obvious failings.
The SuperDome issue arose in 1998 and again in 2004, just as it did in 2005. The difference this time is that no priority was given to making sure the state-owned facility could actually support 15, 000 with food and water even for a very short period of time.
While it is true that members of the Louisiana National Guard has been largely deployed to Iraq as of October 2004, the United States Department of Defense has other resources available in and around Louisiana that could have filled the role played by the Louisiana Guard. This would have required a bit of co-ordination between Baton Rouge and Washington, but the current political fracas between the Democrats and Republicans over the New Orleans monkey suggests contingency plans were never developed. Spread the blame for that failure around to however it can touch.
There are 3, 700 Louisiana National Guard soldiers in Iraq, according to the Washington Post. They are due to start their normal rotation home this week.
There are currently 58, 000 Active and Guard soldiers in Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama providing emergency support to residents affected by Hurricane Katrina.
Local angle: The United States Naval Ship Pollux is one of the U.S. Navy ships providing support in the Gulf. It is carrying fuel for military and civilian emergency agencies. A previous ship carrying that name ran aground on the Burin Peninsula, near St. Lawrence, in the early 1940s.
There is now video available on CNN of water rescue efforts including pictures of bloated corpses floating. Here's a link to the video of a piece of Christiane Amanpour's story. If it doesn't work go to CNN.
05 September 2005
Prayer no substitute for preparation: province lacks emergency plan
Almost four years after the September 11 incident and despite examples of natural disasters in this province and neighbouring provinces over the past five years, Newfoundland and Labrador still does not have a functioning emergency response plan.
Provincial officials have worked in the document since 2001 yet are no closer to finishing it, despite almost 48 months of work.
The provincial response to the 9/11 incident was improvised, despite a federal-provincial training exercise in 1999 which included a scenario involving 30 international commercial passenger flights being diverted to Newfoundland and Labrador airports.
Effective co-ordination of the response was hampered by the chaotic nature of Emergency Measures Organization's operations centre. Daily decision meetings reportedly took place in the command centre and involved at times upwards of 64 people, all of whom had input to the meetings which lasted for hours.
In one incident, a request to National Defence for military camp cots was routed by the Department of Health through Health Canada despite military officials being present in the EMO command centre. Subsequent public comments by both the premier and the provincial cabinet minister responsible for emergency response did nothing other than strain relations with the federal government. In a situation reminiscent of the current situation in New Orleans, their public political criticism of federal authorities was actually rooted in their own organizational failures rather than in any shortcomings of federal support.
The provincial public relations response was a disaster in itself. Emergency public relations involves communicating essential, operational information to news media and the general public. The first media briefing took place over six hours after the incident began, took place in an area that ought to have been closed to news media and gave very little useful information on the provincial response. Subsequent provincial government briefings focused on actions in the metropolitan St. John's area.
In one memorable incident, a CBC host tried repeatedly to get concrete information from the provincial municipal affairs minister on how volunteers could help provincial efforts. His attempts to gain practical information were ignored by the minister who was intent on praising officials for their efforts. This release is typical, for example, with its extensive praise of local efforts and very little practical information on emergency response activities.
For those looking for basic information on the province's emergency plan, the provincial government website contains only this section on the province's Emergency Measures Organization.
By contrast, there is this site from the Nova Scotia government. Among other things, the site contains a great deal of useful advice for individuals on emergency preparedness.
Recent experience with the Titan missile incident demonstrated the fundamental breakdown of the province's emergency response system, particularly as it relates to the identification of potential threats, accurate threat assessment and appropriate response.
No provincial government officials hold valid federal security clearances. Such clearances enable them to routinely access sensitive intelligence on potential threats and would allow them to attend international briefings on emergency response. Provincial officials were excluded from a U.S. government briefing on the Titan missile launch earlier this year solely because they lacked a security clearance.
Provincial officials have worked in the document since 2001 yet are no closer to finishing it, despite almost 48 months of work.
The provincial response to the 9/11 incident was improvised, despite a federal-provincial training exercise in 1999 which included a scenario involving 30 international commercial passenger flights being diverted to Newfoundland and Labrador airports.
Effective co-ordination of the response was hampered by the chaotic nature of Emergency Measures Organization's operations centre. Daily decision meetings reportedly took place in the command centre and involved at times upwards of 64 people, all of whom had input to the meetings which lasted for hours.
In one incident, a request to National Defence for military camp cots was routed by the Department of Health through Health Canada despite military officials being present in the EMO command centre. Subsequent public comments by both the premier and the provincial cabinet minister responsible for emergency response did nothing other than strain relations with the federal government. In a situation reminiscent of the current situation in New Orleans, their public political criticism of federal authorities was actually rooted in their own organizational failures rather than in any shortcomings of federal support.
The provincial public relations response was a disaster in itself. Emergency public relations involves communicating essential, operational information to news media and the general public. The first media briefing took place over six hours after the incident began, took place in an area that ought to have been closed to news media and gave very little useful information on the provincial response. Subsequent provincial government briefings focused on actions in the metropolitan St. John's area.
In one memorable incident, a CBC host tried repeatedly to get concrete information from the provincial municipal affairs minister on how volunteers could help provincial efforts. His attempts to gain practical information were ignored by the minister who was intent on praising officials for their efforts. This release is typical, for example, with its extensive praise of local efforts and very little practical information on emergency response activities.
For those looking for basic information on the province's emergency plan, the provincial government website contains only this section on the province's Emergency Measures Organization.
By contrast, there is this site from the Nova Scotia government. Among other things, the site contains a great deal of useful advice for individuals on emergency preparedness.
Recent experience with the Titan missile incident demonstrated the fundamental breakdown of the province's emergency response system, particularly as it relates to the identification of potential threats, accurate threat assessment and appropriate response.
No provincial government officials hold valid federal security clearances. Such clearances enable them to routinely access sensitive intelligence on potential threats and would allow them to attend international briefings on emergency response. Provincial officials were excluded from a U.S. government briefing on the Titan missile launch earlier this year solely because they lacked a security clearance.
The struggle for control in Louisiana
Anyone following media coverage of rescue and relief operations in New Orleans will notice the ferocity of complaints by municipal and state officials in Louisiana (all Democrats) aimed at the U.S. federal government and President George Bush (a Republican).
This story, in Saturday's Washington Post, documents the struggle to unify command and control over the rescue efforts.
Louisiana Governor Kathleen Babineau Blanco has stilled not declared a state of emergency in and around New Orleans, almost a full week after the hurricane devastated the region. Despite the ease with which some politicians have been playing up accusations of racism in the federal American response to the hurricane it appears that city government in New Orleans did little if anything to establish an effect emergency response. Blanco reportedly took over 24 hours to review a proposal from President Bush that would have streamlined the command and control structure among city, state and federal authorities trying to conduct emergency rescue and relief operations.
By Friday, New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin had reportedly lowered the tone of his rhetoric and was expressing optimism on the emergency response following his meeting with President Bush.
Despite the change of tone, the collapse of local law and order can be traced directly to the mayor's office (which is currently located in the Hyatt Hotel next to the SuperDome). Police reportedly have been forced to scrounge for food and water, weapons and ammunition in an effort to retain some semblance of control. It is incomprehensible that civic officials failed to provide emergency stocks of food and water, let alone weapons and redundant communications that would have allowed police to provide effective service despite the damage suffered by the city.
Two senior police officers have reportedly committed suicide since Katrina devastated the City of New Orleans.
Before anyone jumps to man the barricades in defence of state and city officials, remember that emergency response in a federal system starts at the municipal level, then goes up to the state level and finally to the federal. All must work together, but since Tuesday, both the New Orleans mayor and state officials have been busily tossing the monkey of the disastrous emergency response onto Washington's back. At the heart of the problem appears to be a gross lack of preparedness at the city and state level, coupled with something bordering on incompetence at the State House in Baton Rouge.
In this story from the Army Times, the writer refers to national guard units beginning combat operations in New Orleans. That American military have to refer to their actions as combat operations suggests the extent to which municipal and state officials have lost control of New Orleans.
In a related incident, police escorting civilian engineering contractors to repair damaged levees shot and killed five or six gunmen in New Orleans. The gunmen were part of an armed group who opened fire on the convoy.
This story, in Saturday's Washington Post, documents the struggle to unify command and control over the rescue efforts.
Louisiana Governor Kathleen Babineau Blanco has stilled not declared a state of emergency in and around New Orleans, almost a full week after the hurricane devastated the region. Despite the ease with which some politicians have been playing up accusations of racism in the federal American response to the hurricane it appears that city government in New Orleans did little if anything to establish an effect emergency response. Blanco reportedly took over 24 hours to review a proposal from President Bush that would have streamlined the command and control structure among city, state and federal authorities trying to conduct emergency rescue and relief operations.
By Friday, New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin had reportedly lowered the tone of his rhetoric and was expressing optimism on the emergency response following his meeting with President Bush.
Despite the change of tone, the collapse of local law and order can be traced directly to the mayor's office (which is currently located in the Hyatt Hotel next to the SuperDome). Police reportedly have been forced to scrounge for food and water, weapons and ammunition in an effort to retain some semblance of control. It is incomprehensible that civic officials failed to provide emergency stocks of food and water, let alone weapons and redundant communications that would have allowed police to provide effective service despite the damage suffered by the city.
Two senior police officers have reportedly committed suicide since Katrina devastated the City of New Orleans.
Before anyone jumps to man the barricades in defence of state and city officials, remember that emergency response in a federal system starts at the municipal level, then goes up to the state level and finally to the federal. All must work together, but since Tuesday, both the New Orleans mayor and state officials have been busily tossing the monkey of the disastrous emergency response onto Washington's back. At the heart of the problem appears to be a gross lack of preparedness at the city and state level, coupled with something bordering on incompetence at the State House in Baton Rouge.
In this story from the Army Times, the writer refers to national guard units beginning combat operations in New Orleans. That American military have to refer to their actions as combat operations suggests the extent to which municipal and state officials have lost control of New Orleans.
In a related incident, police escorting civilian engineering contractors to repair damaged levees shot and killed five or six gunmen in New Orleans. The gunmen were part of an armed group who opened fire on the convoy.
04 September 2005
Typhoons hit Gander
Royal Air Force Eurofighter Typhoons made a stopover in Gander this past week and were captured on these digital images by local lawyer and aviation buff Mark Stares.
In the top photo, a Eurofighter from 17 Squadron RAF, the operational evaluation unit makes its final approach into Gander.
In the bottom photo, pilots and ground crew walk away from a parked aircraft.
Military aircrafts of all types routinely make visits to major airports in Newfoundland and Labrador.
02 September 2005
So much for rumours
Rumours are usually nonsense and so it turned out this week that a couple of chatter-bits posted to the Bond Papers were...well...WRONG. They were labeled as rumour and chatter so hopefully no one was unduly misled and the reputation of the Bond papers hasn't suffered.
1. Efford is staying. Based on everything your humble e-scribbler was getting, John Efford was going to pack in his job as federal natural resources minister due to ill health. Instead, Efford decided to hang around with a different schedule that will help him better manage his diabetes.
2. Crap Talk may survive. Rumours that Bill Rowe's afternoon talk show was doomed seem to be wrong as well. Open Line host Randy Simms is seeking re-election to the Mount Pearl city council, so Randy is rightly taking a break so he doesn't have an unfair advantage over his fellow candidates.
Crap Talk host Bill Rowe and Nite line host Linda Swain will be taking turns covering the afternoon show while Bill takes on full-time hosting duties in the morning.
Oh great, we get to hear Bill continue to find every way he can to create an open sore out of Newfoundlanders attitudes to themselves and the rest of the country. Personally, I think VOCM should take emery boards, sandpaper, salt and anything else Rowe has handy. More often than not his information is bogus, although he continues to convince people that this province and its people are little more than a "pimple on the arse" of Canada. That's Bill's phrase by the way, not mine.
Well, as some of my friends are fond of saying, "I am no pimple. I am no arse."
I'd paraphrase Churchill to defend my fellow Newfoundlanders from the jaundiced, miserable and usually hollow presentation made by Danny William's former personal representative to the Lord Minto Hotel:
"Some pimple. Some arse."
1. Efford is staying. Based on everything your humble e-scribbler was getting, John Efford was going to pack in his job as federal natural resources minister due to ill health. Instead, Efford decided to hang around with a different schedule that will help him better manage his diabetes.
2. Crap Talk may survive. Rumours that Bill Rowe's afternoon talk show was doomed seem to be wrong as well. Open Line host Randy Simms is seeking re-election to the Mount Pearl city council, so Randy is rightly taking a break so he doesn't have an unfair advantage over his fellow candidates.
Crap Talk host Bill Rowe and Nite line host Linda Swain will be taking turns covering the afternoon show while Bill takes on full-time hosting duties in the morning.
Oh great, we get to hear Bill continue to find every way he can to create an open sore out of Newfoundlanders attitudes to themselves and the rest of the country. Personally, I think VOCM should take emery boards, sandpaper, salt and anything else Rowe has handy. More often than not his information is bogus, although he continues to convince people that this province and its people are little more than a "pimple on the arse" of Canada. That's Bill's phrase by the way, not mine.
Well, as some of my friends are fond of saying, "I am no pimple. I am no arse."
I'd paraphrase Churchill to defend my fellow Newfoundlanders from the jaundiced, miserable and usually hollow presentation made by Danny William's former personal representative to the Lord Minto Hotel:
"Some pimple. Some arse."
What drops from the back end of a male bovine?
I don't know about the rest of my public relations colleagues, but people I know call a story like this BULLSHIT.
Who gives a rats backside if you are getting calls for interviews, Danny? This is the kind of superficial, puff story that makes Williams look like a prima donna, a light weight. Sure it strokes the hell out of his ego. But beyond that it doesn't mean a thing.
Any experienced PR practitioner would recognize this for what it is - irrelevant crap - and kill it off before it went anywhere.
Then again, if you thought the New England governors conference was a success or that having senior comms people waste a day a week monitoring call-ins shows, I guess you'll believe anything.
In the meantime, if this story is the result of the Premier's comms staff feeling self-important because of the media attention, they better get some sense of humility and a sense of perspective real soon.
No matter how you slice it, this story smells of people appointed for their connections instead of their qualifications.
Who gives a rats backside if you are getting calls for interviews, Danny? This is the kind of superficial, puff story that makes Williams look like a prima donna, a light weight. Sure it strokes the hell out of his ego. But beyond that it doesn't mean a thing.
Any experienced PR practitioner would recognize this for what it is - irrelevant crap - and kill it off before it went anywhere.
Then again, if you thought the New England governors conference was a success or that having senior comms people waste a day a week monitoring call-ins shows, I guess you'll believe anything.
In the meantime, if this story is the result of the Premier's comms staff feeling self-important because of the media attention, they better get some sense of humility and a sense of perspective real soon.
No matter how you slice it, this story smells of people appointed for their connections instead of their qualifications.
The best man for the job
"Both the premier and I continue to believe that Andy Wells is the ideal candidate [to be chief executive officer of the Canada-Newfoundland and Labrador Offshore Petroleum Board] and we will be requesting that he be given primary consideration as this process moves forward."
- Ed Byrne, Minister of Natural Resources, August 25, 2005
Is there something about Ed and Danny we should know?
Cover from The Current, Newfoundland and Labrador's alternative paper.
Photo: Greg Locke, Straylight
Ballgag: Our Pleasure
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